Global Order in Disarray – A Quest for Global Governance

8– 9 December 2018, AETAS Lumphini Hotel, Bangkok, Thailand

Jointly organized by Asian Governance Foundation (AGF) and Hanns Seidel Foundation

Agenda   Report   Photos

Agenda

Saturday, 8 December 2018

Themed opening remarks: The End of Global Order: Fading Visions, Dire Outlooks?

Henning Glaser, Director, German Southeast Asian Center of Excellence for Public Policy and Good Governance (CPG) and Executive Director, Asian Governance Foundation (AGF)

Q&A

Multilateralism and Global Governance in a changing international order – Can old International Institutions still bind?

Multilateralism today and UN Reform

Cecilia Jacob, Acting Head, Department of International Relations, Australian National University College of Asia & the Pacific

The Use of Force and Laws of War

Zamir Noam, Assistant Professor, School of Law, City University of Hong Kong

International Public Law, Recognition of States

Malawina Kolodziejczak, Lecturer, Department of Security Law, Institute of Law and Administration, War Studies University, Warsaw

Moderator: Jan Kliem, Senior Program Officer and Researcher, German Southeast Asian Center of Excellence for Public Policy and Good Governance (CPG)

Group Picture

Lunch

“Trends in the Global Economy – A European Glance on Production, Trade and Currencies”

Helmut Siekmann, former Endowed Chair of Money, Currency and Central Bank Law, Goethe Universität Frankfurt a.M.

Q&A

Emerging alternative structures of global governance?

Chinese Foreign Policy and international order

Bernt Berger, Senior Fellow, Head of Asia Programme, Deutsche Gesellschaft für Auswärtige Politik (DGAP), Berlin

The Geostrategic Aspects of the Asia-Pacific and the international order

Strobe Driver, War and Conflict Researcher, Geo-Strategic Analysis

Russian Foreign Policy and international order

Leszek Buszynski, Visiting Fellow, Strategic & Defence Studies Centre, Australian National University College of Asia & the Pacific

Moderator: Duc Quang Ly, Program Manager, German Southeast Asian Center of Excellence for Public Policy and Good Governance (CPG)

Dinner

Sunday, 9 December 2018

(Dis)-order in Europe?

Hall Gardner, Professor of International Politics, American University of Paris

Q&A

A new focus on the Indian Ocean Region I

Coping with global turbulences- Indian approach

Maj. Gen. (ret.) Ashok Hukku, former Chief Military Intelligence Advisor in the Cabinet Secretariat at New Delhi, India

Small Powers, Middle Powers and ASEAN in the IOR

Frederick Kliem, Senior Programme Manager Regional Programme Political Dialogue Asia, Konrad Adenauer Stiftung Singapore

Moderation: Lasse Schuldt, German Southeast Asian Center of Excellence for Public Policy and Good Governance (CPG)

Lunch

A new focus on the Indian Ocean Region II

Japan’s strategy in the IOR

Lieutenant General Bansho Koichiro (ret.), Senior Advisor to Japan’s National Security Council

The Free and Open Indo Pacific

Col. Grant Newsham, Senior Researcher, Japan Forum for Strategic Studies

 Moderation: Lasse Schuldt, German Southeast Asian Center of Excellence for Public Policy and Good Governance (CPG)

Concluding Remarks

Report

From 8-9 December 2018, together with the Hanns-Seidel Foundation and the Asian Governance Foundation (AGF), the German-Southeast Asian Center of Excellence for Public Policy and Good Governance (CPG), organised the international conference “Global Order in Disarray – A Quest for Global Governance” at the AETAS Lumphini Hotel in Bangkok, Thailand. The conference began with themed opening remarks by Henning Glaser, Director, CPG and Executive Director, AGF. Mr. Glaser offered his views on the state of global affairs today and touched upon many issues relevant to the rest of the conference, such as great power rivalry today, the need to reform the United Nations, the potentially waning dominance of the US Dollar, and on many ongoing conflicts and power struggles that display an old world order under stress and formations of new structures of such order.

The first panel discussed some of the questions raised in the opening remarks in more depth. Dr. Cecilia Jacob, Fellow, Department of International Relations, College of Asia and the Pacific, Australian National University elaborated on the United Nations and the plans and  progress of reform to an institution that is often criticised for being trapped by its own historic set-up. Dr. Noam Zamir, Assistant Professor of Law, School of Law, City University of Hong Kong, followed on from these elaborations with a detailed presentation on the use of force and international public law and new challenges to old laws brought about by the changing nature of conflict in terms of both combatants as well as weapon systems. The third panellist, Dr. Malawina Kolodziejczack, Lecturer, Department of Security Law, Institute of Law and Administration, War Studies University, Warsaw,  presented on the recognition of states and international pubic law with a particular focus on the case of Taiwan in particular and increasing cross-strait tensions in general. The panel and subsequent Q&A were moderated by Jan Kliem, Senior Program Officer and Researcher, CPG.

Under the title “Trends in the Global Economy”, Professor Helmut Siekmann, former Endowed Chair of Money, Currency and Central Bank Law, Goethe University Frankfurt a.M., then discussed the overall state of the global economy, its trends and patterns, as well as issues pertaining to the dominance of the US Dollar and some ongoing financial instability since the financial crisis in 2008.

The final panel of the day consisted of Bernt Berger, Senior Fellow, Head of Asia Programme, Deutsche Gesellschaft für Auswärtige Politik (DGAP), Berlin; Dr. Strobe Driver, War and Conflict Researcher, Geo-Strategic Analysis, Federation University Australia; and Professor Leszek Buszynski, Visiting Fellow, Strategic & Defence Studies Centre, College of Asia and the Pacific, Australian National University and was moderated by Dr. Duc Quang Ly, Project Manager, CPG. The discussion focused on newly emerging parts of global order, with a particular focus China, Russia and the Asia-Pacific region. China, it was argued by the first speaker, is not predominantly trying to implement the “strategic” aspect of a concerted Belt and Road initiative but has significant concerns with regards to external powers in its own region. Dr. Driver, who had a much more pessimistic view of Chinese intentions, pointed to Taiwan as a very likely issue over which a great power war could start. Prof. Buszynski elaborated on Russian geopolitics and on the possibility of a Sino-Russian axis which, should it ever occur, could cause great problems to western powers and their allies.   

The second conference day started out with a historic perspective on global (dis-)order in Europe and on current trends and a threats faced by the European Union, delivered by Professor Hall Gardner, Professor of International Politics, American University of Paris, France.

The concluding panels of the conference were moderated by Dr. Lasse Schuldt, CPG, and were focused on the Indian Ocean Region from the perspective of India – Major General Ashok Hukku, former Chief Military Intelligence Advisor in the Cabinet Secretariat at New Delhi India; the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) – Dr. Frederick Kliem, Senior Programme Manager Regional Programme Political Dialogue Asia, Konrad Adenauer Foundation Singapore; Japan – Lieutenant General Bansho Koichiro, Senior Advisor to Japan’s National Security Council; and the United States of America – Colonel Grant Newsham, Senior Researcher, Japan Forum for Strategic Studies. The panels discussed the quadrilateral efforts among the US, Japan, India and Australia as well as the place of small and middle powers amid US-China tensions and the potential role that in particular India and ASEAN could play in future. Henning Glaser concluded the conference with his final remarks.